Federal Labor still have a decisive edge over Coalition, poll finds

Moderated by Tomas Kauer Moderated by Tomas Kauer
Apr 14, 2026 - 01:00
Federal Labor still have a decisive edge over Coalition, poll finds

Support from female voters is helping the Albanese government maintain a strong two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, a new poll has found.

Labor primary support remained virtually unchanged at 30 per cent, according to the Roy Morgan survey of 1500 voters over the past week.

One Nation support rose 3 per cent to 24.5 per cent at the expense of the Coalition, down 1.5 per cent to 22.5 per cent, while backing for the Greens improved by 0.5 per cent to 12.5 per cent.

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The research revealed two-party support (based on how electors said they'd direct their preferences) showed Labor on 56 per cent, remaining well ahead of the Coalition on 44 per cent. Both figures were unchanged.

When preferences are allocated based on how Australians voted at last year's federal election, Labor enjoys a narrower lead of 54 per cent to 46 per cent.

The polling also found results by gender showed Labor leading strongly among women on a two-party preferred basis, with the party up 3.5 per cent to 61 per cent, compared with the Coalition on 39 per cent, a drop of 3.5 points.

But among male voters the parties are level pegging on a two-party preferred basis, with both Labor and the Coalition on 50 per cent.

Among men, primary support for One Nation has risen 2.5 per cent to 29.5 per cent - making it the most popular party based on primary voting.

Labor's primary support has dipped to 28 per cent, while the Coalition parties recorded a marginal increase to 23 per cent.

Overall the voter snapshot shows if a federal election was held now, Labor would be returned to government with a clear majority under either method.

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